Block Chain

Is the Narrative about Bitcoin’s 4-Year Halving Cycle Diminishing?

With Bitcoin’s present return of roughly 456% since the third halving occasion in May 2020, it is a important underachievement in comparison with the two earlier cycles of 2012 and 2016, which had recorded 1,355% and 4,974% respectively at this cut-off date. 

Market perception supplier CryptoCompare confirmed:

“BTC returns from this cycle underperform the two previous cycles which returned 4,974% and 1,355% respectively at this point in time. This fuels the fear that the 4yr cycle that many market participants believe in is no longer an appropriate narrative.”


Nevertheless, Bitcoin’s current return is increased than conventional asset lessons like S&P 500 with 59.3%.

Bitcoin halving refers to the discount of Bitcoin block rewards, which happens as soon as each 210,000 blocks are created, and it normally occurs round each 4 years. Block reward refers to the quantity of Bitcoin obtained by miners after they efficiently validate a brand new block. The rationale behind that is Bitcoin’s design, whose whole provide is capped at 21 million coins. 

Bitcoin’s third halving happened on May 11, successfully decreasing the block rewards from 12.5 to six.25 BTC per new block. This was the third time in its historical past that this occasion was taking place as the earlier ones occurred in 2012 and 2016. Precisely, Bitcoin’s block rewards went all the way down to 25 from 50 Bitcoin per block in November 2012. It additional decreased to 12.5 items in July 2016. 

The logic behind halving occasions is that extra BTC will get mined as extra folks make the most of the Bitcoin community. Therefore, by slashing the mining rewards by half, retrieving this digital asset turns into tough, rising its worth primarily based on restricted provide.

Meanwhile, the variety of Bitcoin whales continues to develop. 


“The number of whale addresses holding 100 to 1,000 BTC has 193 more addresses in this prestigious club, compared to just 10 weeks ago. The number of whales in this tier has shown some strikingly impressive parallels to BTC price, historically,” according to crypto analytic agency Santiment.

Image supply: Shutterstock

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